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Confidence & decisions · 2 min read

Plan the Evidence Before Generating the Tests

Decide what must be true before deciding how much testing to do.

/carbon-confidence-plan

Jason — virtual AI testerAIJasonAI Code ReviewRichard — virtual AI testerAIRichardForms

An evaluation suite can be beautifully organized and still answer the wrong question.

Before generating cases, ask what decision the evidence needs to support. Are you shipping a new assistant, changing a model, or enabling an agent to take actions it could not take before?

/carbon-confidence-plan creates a risk-based validation plan around that scope.

Replace vague confidence with claims

Consider a support assistant that can issue credits. Answer quality matters, but so do authorization, amount limits, tool arguments, duplicate actions, and recovery when the tool response is uncertain.

The plan should identify those boundaries, rank plausible failures by consequence and uncertainty, and define what evidence would support each claim. Some checks need exact assertions. Others need repeated sampled evaluation, calibrated reviewers, or an operational signal.

Tests generated from the implementation alone may share its assumptions. An independence plan identifies where another evidence source or review perspective is necessary. That is especially important for consequential or irreversible behavior.

Ask for a decision-sized plan

/carbon-confidence-plan assess the proposed credit-issuing assistant; define release claims, unacceptable outcomes, and the evidence needed before enabling writes

The output is a plan and durable risk context, not execution proof. It should show prerequisites, blocked evidence, high-risk slices, and the smallest useful investigation order.

Generating cases comes later. The first task is deciding which claims deserve them.

AI makes lists easy. The value of planning is choosing the evidence that would actually change your decision.

Install CARBON at testers.ai/carbon for a supported coding agent such as Claude, Codex, or Cursor.

— Jason Arbon, CEO testers.ai